Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.032127 0.035087 0.038068 0.041288 0.044662 0.048087 0.051820
2025-12-21 0.027784 0.032201 0.036794 0.041904 0.047406 0.053132 0.059520
2025-12-28 0.023395 0.028732 0.034456 0.040997 0.048212 0.055881 0.064600
2026-01-04 0.020538 0.026598 0.033280 0.041095 0.049890 0.059398 0.070373
2026-01-11 0.018505 0.025162 0.032689 0.041670 0.051951 0.063223 0.076392
2026-01-18 0.016776 0.023902 0.032149 0.042174 0.053823 0.066754 0.082018
2026-01-25 0.014214 0.021428 0.030013 0.040669 0.053264 0.067433 0.084347
2026-02-01 0.012517 0.019875 0.028851 0.040202 0.053810 0.069291 0.087943
2026-02-08 0.011170 0.018653 0.028003 0.040027 0.054632 0.071413 0.091794
2026-02-15 0.010587 0.018380 0.028294 0.041206 0.057036 0.075356 0.097732
2026-02-22 0.009935 0.017960 0.028357 0.042068 0.059036 0.078809 0.103093
2026-03-01 0.009183 0.017340 0.028118 0.042518 0.060509 0.081621 0.107693
2026-03-08 0.008313 0.016512 0.027590 0.042607 0.061563 0.083977 0.111821
2026-03-15 0.007863 0.016263 0.027811 0.043642 0.063781 0.087730 0.117610
2026-03-22 0.006836 0.015067 0.026694 0.042902 0.063761 0.088771 0.120175
2026-03-29 0.006210 0.014435 0.026313 0.043091 0.064880 0.091174 0.124349
2026-04-05 0.005777 0.014073 0.026282 0.043724 0.066547 0.094232 0.129301
2026-04-12 0.005353 0.013687 0.026194 0.044262 0.068080 0.097121 0.134049
2026-04-19 0.004401 0.012312 0.024608 0.042723 0.066909 0.096657 0.134728
2026-04-26 0.003818 0.011517 0.023828 0.042246 0.067078 0.097824 0.137364
2026-05-03 0.003361 0.010902 0.023284 0.042068 0.067617 0.099436 0.140529
2026-05-10 0.003248 0.010937 0.023734 0.043283 0.069985 0.103335 0.146495
2026-05-17 0.003073 0.010832 0.023957 0.044171 0.071921 0.106694 0.151804